Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 1241.929352 1406.330012 1587.574547 1802.752620 2051.944193 2332.264591 2672.622681
2025-11-02 1008.802560 1232.984894 1502.727563 1853.575651 2301.308446 2858.169198 3610.371889
2025-11-09 872.512887 1120.671063 1436.901983 1874.123938 2470.304991 3265.519813 4424.562208
2025-11-16 774.108000 1034.410607 1381.761148 1886.504004 2613.482191 3641.773703 5241.127159
2025-11-23 701.491686 969.476021 1341.464818 1905.811229 2758.602526 4029.420240 6125.337676
2025-11-30 647.303711 921.724197 1316.291508 1938.604004 2921.039328 4457.178497 7133.540754
2025-12-07 581.025681 848.176580 1243.758511 1888.454317 2944.855911 4666.452808 7812.871019
2025-12-14 524.966844 783.602354 1176.842918 1837.046925 2956.338353 4851.449410 8473.142675
2025-12-21 475.164112 723.567729 1110.350375 1777.431813 2944.110268 4990.196290 9066.419336
2025-12-28 456.636018 710.708585 1116.794721 1838.332626 3144.754991 5528.368294 10506.843935
2026-01-04 433.707657 688.389421 1105.149795 1865.932973 3287.777837 5978.433498 11851.677568
2026-01-11 411.425037 665.019899 1089.207939 1883.420900 3412.862303 6409.543014 13234.634246
2026-01-18 389.513524 641.204321 1071.606598 1898.400780 3539.962028 6873.423329 14808.305575
2026-01-25 375.124493 629.250390 1073.855750 1951.059450 3749.396734 7542.013740 17006.604545
2026-02-01 357.606415 610.131976 1061.160920 1972.950403 3897.913385 8102.137362 19067.959894
2026-02-08 340.499029 590.265714 1045.124374 1986.072272 4028.980169 8643.300271 21206.397664
2026-02-15 325.812753 573.605340 1033.495203 2006.550880 4178.279461 9250.147654 23666.995186
2026-02-22 314.006100 561.343276 1029.099197 2041.336123 4364.034887 9975.083109 26643.830510
2026-03-01 293.260795 530.483124 985.682054 1988.141353 4338.824961 10170.753125 28114.112352
2026-03-08 274.134960 501.425760 943.590486 1933.624954 4303.583336 10335.222480 29532.419373
2026-03-15 255.666000 472.435254 899.483739 1870.420624 4239.580297 10414.359667 30703.207955
2026-03-22 251.124511 470.779177 911.316216 1934.988256 4502.214383 11426.620741 35257.884956
2026-03-29 243.463145 462.257756 908.064850 1964.256399 4678.778017 12230.344748 39341.381123